STAT 511 Midterm Exam (Take-Home Part)

Multiple Choice
Identify the choice that best completes the statement or answers the question.

____	1.	Data was accessed for a large group of students, considered to be the population, whose mean sleep time was 7.1 hours. One hundred random samples of size 40 were taken, and each sample was used to set up a 95% confidence interval for the population mean sleep time, and to test the hypothesis that population mean sleep time equals 7.1. Which one of the following is most plausible?
a.	4 intervals contained 7.1 and 4 tests rejected the null hypothesis	
b.	4 intervals contained 7.1 and 96 tests rejected the null hypothesis	
c.	96 intervals contained 7.1 and 4 tests rejected the null hypothesis	
d.	96 intervals contained 7.1 and 96 tests rejected the null hypothesis	

Cost of coronary bypass surgery at a sample of 9 local hospitals had a mean of 24 thousand dollars. Assume the population standard deviation (i.e., ) to be 6 thousand dollars.

____	2.	Suppose someone wants to test a claim that the overall mean cost of coronary by-pass surgery is 30 thousand dollars. Which one of these is the correct formulation of the null hypothesis in this case?
a.		
b.		
c.		
d.		
e.		
f.		
g.		
h.		

____	3.	If want to test if the population mean cost is 30 thousand dollars against the alternative that the population mean cost is not 30, at the significance level , you would
a.	reject the null hypothesis	
b.	reject the alternative hypothesis	
c.	fail to reject the null hypothesis	

____	4.	If the hypothesis test is carried out taking 6 thousand dollars to be the sample standard deviation instead of the population standard deviation, the standardized test statistic follows which distribution?
a.	the standard normal distribution	
b.	t-distribution	

____	5.	If the hypothesis test is carried out taking 6 thousand dollars to be the sample standard deviation instead of the population standard deviation and the population standard deviation is unknown, the P-value is
a.	smaller than the one reported	
b.	larger than the one reported	
c.	the same as the one reported	

Prices for a sample of 16 pre-owned Playstation 3’s in December 2006 (still in the box) had a mean of $1,125. Assume the population standard deviation to be $250.

____	6.	Suppose someone wants to test a claim that the overall mean price of pre-owned Playstation 3’s, still in the box, was over $1,000. Which one of these is the correct formulation of the null hypothesis in this case?
a.		
b.		
c.		
d.		
e.		
f.		
g.		
h.		

A Type I Error is rejecting the null hypothesis, even though it is true; a Type II Error is failing to reject the null hypothesis, even though it is false.

____	7.	Suppose a judge tests the evidence against a defendant who is on trial for a crime. Which type of error tends to be considered more serious by the legal community?
a.	a Type I Error	
b.	a Type II Error	
c.	opinions tend to be evenly divided	

For this problem, we will assume that the null hypothesis should be rejected as long as the P-value is less than 0.05. (Note that the area under the t curve for 3 degrees of freedom to the right of +2.353 is 0.05.) Suppose the mean and standard deviation for calories consumed in a day by a sample of teenagers are used to test whether the mean daily calories for all teenagers is greater than 2000. Choose the correct approach under each of the following circumstances:

____	8.	The mean and standard deviation are obtained from a representative sample of 4 teenagers; the data set has a normal appearance.
a.	Use a z procedure: the cut-off for a small P-value is z = 1.645.	
b.	Use a t procedure: the cut-off for a small P-value is t = 2.353.	
c.	Neither z nor t is appropriate in this situation.	

____	9.	Which of these sample mean calories would provide the most evidence against the null hypothesis  in favor of the one-sided alternative ? 
a.		
b.		
c.		

____	10.	Which of these sample mean calories would provide the most evidence against the null hypothesis  in favor of the two-sided alternative ? 
a.		
b.		
c.		

Short Answer

Cost of coronary bypass surgery at a sample of 9 local hospitals had a mean of 24 thousand dollars. Assume the population standard deviation (i.e., ) to be 6 thousand dollars.

	11.	Suppose that 6 thousand dollars had been the sample standard deviation. The 90% confidence interval for population mean price is from __________ thousand dollars to __________ thousand dollars. (Report the endpoints to two decimal places.)

Prices for a sample of 16 pre-owned Playstation 3’s in December 2006 (still in the box) had a mean of $1,125. Assume the population is normal with a standard deviation to be $250.

	12.	The 99% confidence interval extends from $__________ to $__________. (Report the interval’s endpoints to the nearest whole number.)

	13.	A rare disease occurs at the rate of one per 10,000 people. In a city of one million people, we expect _______________ people with the rare disease. The probability that there are 15 or more people inflicted by the disease in the city is __________________ according to the binomial approximation (please use the continuity correction).

	14.	A sample of size 21 was drawn from a normal population and the sample variance  is 5. The 95% confidence interval for the polutation standard deviation  is (________, _________).

	15.	If the sample of a large size n is from , then the sample mean  approximately has the _________ distribution with mean ___________ and variance _____________ according to the law of large numbers.

	16.	A chi-sqaure distribution is _____________ (symmetric, right-skewed or left-skewed)

	17.	If the p-value is 0.042 for a test, then the null hypothesis should be ____________ at the significance level 0.05 and ____________ at the significance level 0.01.

	18.	If the probability density function is , then E(X)=___________, and P(0<X<0.5)=____________.

STAT 511 Midterm Exam (Take-Home Part)
Answer Section

MULTIPLE CHOICE

	1.	ANS:	C	PTS:	1

	2.	ANS:	E	PTS:	1

	3.	ANS:	A	PTS:	1

	4.	ANS:	B	PTS:	1

	5.	ANS:	B	PTS:	1

	6.	ANS:	E	PTS:	1

	7.	ANS:	A	PTS:	1

	8.	ANS:	B	PTS:	1

	9.	ANS:	C	PTS:	1

	10.	ANS:	A	PTS:	1

SHORT ANSWER

	11.	ANS:	
20.28, 27.72 [in either order]

PTS:	1

	12.	ANS:	
963.75, 1286.25 [in either order]

PTS:	1

	13.	ANS:	
10, 1.

PTS:	1

	14.	ANS:	
1.71, 3.23

PTS:	1

	15.	ANS:	
normal, 

PTS:	1

	16.	ANS:	
right-skewed

PTS:	1

	17.	ANS:	
Rejected, not rejected.

PTS:	1

	18.	ANS:	
4/5. 0.0625.

PTS:	1