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April 3, 2003
5:30-6:20 p.m.
GRIS 276
Professor Philip Protter,
Operations Research and Industrial Engineering, Cornell University
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Abstract:
This paper provides an alternative approach to Duffie and Lando for
obtaining a reduced form credit risk model from a structural model.
Duffie and Lando obtain a reduced form model by constructing an economy
where the market sees the manager's information set plus noise. The noise
makes default a surprise to the market. In contrast, we obtain a reduced
form model by constructing an economy where the market sees a reduction of
the manager's information set. The reduced information makes default a
surprise to the market. We provide an explicit formula for the default
intensity based on an Azema martingale, and we use excursion theory of
Brownian motions to price risky debt. The talk is based on joint work
with Umut Cetin, Robert Jarrow, and Yildiray Yildirim.
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©
2003 Purdue University
Last Update: Mar 31, 2003
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